They typically start off Mexico as summer begins, then march west above the equator. Often that means they never get above 10 or 15N.
But they're unpredictable, and apparently their course depends on water temperature--they like it warm. Tropical storms have always paralleled me en route Hawaii in July, and ten years ago two of them chased me into Kauai and passed overhead. The issue is that they can make a sudden turn north any time, and they can proceed hundred of miles north of the Hawaiian Islands.
This seems like a great year for Tom's sail. On the other hand, the North Pacific High is very far north, making for a long sail home. But that can change.
Here is a personal view of hurricane issues:
But they're unpredictable, and apparently their course depends on water temperature--they like it warm. Tropical storms have always paralleled me en route Hawaii in July, and ten years ago two of them chased me into Kauai and passed overhead. The issue is that they can make a sudden turn north any time, and they can proceed hundred of miles north of the Hawaiian Islands.
This seems like a great year for Tom's sail. On the other hand, the North Pacific High is very far north, making for a long sail home. But that can change.
Here is a personal view of hurricane issues: